If you would have told me last week that Lucas Glover was one of your golf betting picks to win the US Open, I would have laughed right square in your face. But there he was on Monday, holding on down the stretch to win the 109th US Open that was plagued by rain throughout the week.

This is Glover’s second win on the Tour, and he’s known as a solid player, but it took a lot of guts to fend off the likes of Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods, who both made late charges but were let down by their putters. David Duval, who handicapping software didn’t even have listed as one of the sports picks to win the Open, finished two shots back. Ricky Barnes, who broke the 36-hole record at the Open, shot a miserable 76 to give the tournament away. The Mickelson story would have been nice and all, and he played way better than I thought he was, but Glover is here to prove that sometimes, it pays to go against your offshore sportsbook.

So, US Open betting action got back underway this morning, and Tiger Woods resumed his play on the seventh hole. Everything was going swimmingly (pardon the rain-soaked pun) for the world’s No.1, and he even had a couple of birdies on the back nine. But the closing stretch wasn’t so kind to him, as Woods shot +4 for the final four holes to land at +4 after 18 holes.

So what does this mean? It means that Woods is in serious danger of missing the cut for only the second time in his career in a major. The first was in at the US Open in 2006, when he played Winged Foot shortly after the death of his father.  This could make a lot of people who make sports picks (raises hand) look real, real stupid, and I’m betting management at Bethpage never thought about not having Woods in the field for the weekend. Mike Weir shot a blistering -6 for his first round, and Tiger’s right around where the cut would be if this was the second round. But hey, you wanna bet against him? I’ll still take his US Open betting odds.